Sep 25, 2012 8:00pm EDT
and once it gets done, it produces an environment in which all the numbers we are talking about, "a-team" 40. as you want, you want 80% of nonwhite voters. those voters represent the 20 present as they did last time. the internal composition of the white vote is changing in a way that makes it more accessible for him to get there. to me coming have to look not only at education but gender. it basically creates four quadrants. if you look at 2008, noncollege white man. a noncollege white women, he will drop. the fourth quadrant was the college-educated white women. in all polling, including ours, tcs holding a majority. if obama can hold that 80% among the minorities, with it is what reagan won in 1984. i will end with two quick points. one for each party. it is not a comforting message for democrats as well. the general trends is allowing to win a majority with a smaller number of white people. they are also winning a number of this majority. as you look at this, 65 and 66, 76280, 93 and 94, and each time, they suffered a fairly catastrophic decline in their vote share among whites.